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  1. 2 points
    Season 14 - the Villa conundrum? So round 19 is out of the way with another defeat for Villa in a game we dominated. And it got me scratching my head. So often you hear on ESMS managers looking at the stats and saying "I didn't deserve to lose that". I have always been of the view that these things even out over a season but for Villa, this year, it doesn't feel like it's the case. So I delved into our league performance and what I found is shocking! But more of that in a min... Firstly - where are we? The league table looks like this: Pl Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Liverpool 19 11 6 2 24 10 14 39 2 Sunderland 19 10 4 5 21 14 7 34 3 Everton 19 8 8 3 22 16 6 32 4 Leicester_City 19 7 8 4 24 19 5 29 5 Chelsea 19 6 8 5 25 22 3 26 6 Wolverhampton_Wanderers 19 5 9 5 16 16 0 24 7 Aston_Villa 19 5 8 6 22 22 0 23 8 Manchester_United 19 6 5 8 18 19 -1 23 9 Newcastle_United 19 3 10 6 21 23 -2 19 10 Stoke_City 19 4 7 8 11 23 -12 19 11 Arsenal 19 4 5 10 17 27 -10 17 12 Crystal_Palace 19 3 6 10 18 28 -10 15 So top of the bottom half. Not bad for one of the worst sides in the league on paper and I agree. But after 4 games we were top and after 10 we were 3rd - 4 points off top. Since then we have picked up 7 points from a possible 27 and are now 16 points off the top and only 6 of relegation. Our Champions League hopes are gone and we face a scrap for any European football. It's not the goal scoring that's an issue - we're joint 4th in the league on that stat and only 3 of the top scorers. Potentially it's the goals conceded - but we're joint 5th on that so not exactly shipping them for fun. In fact those figures suggest mid-table - which is what we are. So why? Do we not dominate games? Do we not get enough shots or have enough ball? This is where our season's results are very odd: Round Venue Opposition Result Villa Oppo Counter Posession Shots On Target Most Posession Most Shots Most OT 1 h Chelsea W2-1 N C Neither 53-47 14-7 8-5 Villa Villa Villa 2 a Liverpool W1-0 C N Neither 50-50 8-7 5-3 Equal Villa Villa 3 h Sunderland D1-1 P N Villa 59-41 19-7 9-4 Villa Villa Villa 4 a Stoke W3-0 P N Villa 73-27 23-3 13-2 Villa Villa Villa 5 a Man Utd L1-2 C C Neither 52-48 15-15 8-9 Villa Equal Oppo 6 h Arsenal D1-1 E C Villa 64-36 20-6 12-1 Villa Villa Villa 7 a Everton L0-1 C P Villa 62-38 14-4 6-2 Villa Villa Villa 8 h Newcastle D1-1 C A Villa 59-41 16-5 6-3 Villa Villa Villa 9 a Wolves D1-1 C P Villa 65-35 16-6 11-4 Villa Villa Villa 10 h Man Utd W2-0 P A Neither 67-33 31-6 18-4 Villa Villa Villa 11 a Crystal Palace L0-2 N N Neither 53-47 11-10 4-6 Villa Villa Oppo 12 a Chelsea D2-2 C P/A Villa 66-34 19-7 9-3 Villa Villa Villa 13 h Liverpool D2-2 C C Neither 46-54 5-14 3-8 Oppo Oppo Oppo 14 a Sunderland L0-3 N E Villa 45-55 6-12 5-8 Oppo Oppo Oppo 15 h Stoke D1-1 P P Neither 63-37 29-10 23-4 Villa Villa Villa 16 a Leicester D1-1 C C Neither 53-47 6-4 5-3 Villa Villa Villa 17 a Arsenal W2-0 C A Villa 60-40 8-6 5-2 Villa Villa Villa 18 h Everton L1-2 E P Neither 53-47 13-9 8-3 Villa Villa Villa 19 a Newcastle L0-1 C P/E Villa / Oppo 56-44 16-5 10-3 Villa Villa Villa By my reckoning we have had the counter on tactics for 9 of the 19 matches (plus 10 mins of round 19) and only been countered once. Our record with the counter on tactics is 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses We have had the most possession in 16 of the 19 games with one level. The same can be said for shots. We have had the most shots on target in 15 of the 19 games. In 14 matches we have had the best of all 3 stats. Our record in these games - Won 4, drawn 7, lost 3. Now we all know ESMS is a funny game and luck plays its part and i've always assumed that these things even out over time. And, in fairness, the stats say that we should have lost at home to Liverpool and we got an ill deserved draw so there's something in that. But I would then argue that we didn't get what we deserved in multiple of these games - Arsenal (h), Everton (a), Newcastle (h), Wolves (a), Chelsea (a), Stoke (h) to name a few clear ones. When picking a sheet we setup to get the counter / not be countered and i've achieved that. Then we want to create chances and control possession - generally managed that. Not sure what else can be done. We've had 289 shots this season with 168 on target. The opposition have had 143 shots with 77 on target - yet our goal difference is zero! The average possession is 58% vs 42% - yet we've lost more than we've won! This is not me having a moan as, like I say, we're probably performing above ourselves in the league anyway. It just is a real head scratcher for me. I don't know the answers but i'm damn sure going to try and work it out. But maybe it dispels a few myths for ESMS - the counter isn't everything, dominating stats isn't necessarily getting you the win etc. etc. Maybe it's the GK - 9 teams have better GKs - but that doesn't explain Leicester who have a worse one in 4th with fewer goals against. Maybe it's the FWS - every team bar 2 or 3 has better main stats there (although Leicester again can't claim that and they've scored more). Maybe i'm just getting something fundamentally wrong and need to go back to the drawing board. As we approach the end of season, these are all things to be considered as we rebuild for season 15. Interesting stuff I hope you agree.
  2. 1 point
    I didn't expect that result, but glad we captured this win. Now we will see an exciting finish of the title race. Good luck, Ed.
  3. 1 point
    Two games left and still a bit to be decided. Pl Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Liverpool 20 12 6 2 27 11 16 42 - C ------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 Sunderland 20 10 5 5 22 15 7 35 - AAC 3 Everton 20 8 9 3 23 17 6 33 - AAT 4 Leicester_City 20 7 9 4 24 19 5 30 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Chelsea 20 6 9 5 26 23 3 27 6 Aston_Villa 20 6 8 6 27 23 4 26 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Manchester_United 20 6 6 8 18 19 -1 24 8 Wolverhampton_Wanderers 20 5 9 6 17 21 -4 24 9 Newcastle_United 20 3 11 6 22 24 -2 20 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 Stoke_City 20 4 8 8 13 25 -12 20 11 Arsenal 20 4 5 11 18 30 -12 17 12 Crystal_Palace 20 3 7 10 20 30 -10 16 C = Champions AAC = Qualified for Anglo-American Champions League AAT = Qualified for Anglo-American Trophy Liverpool @Eduardo have won the league and as a result will also be in the Anglo-American Champions League next season. Current second placed Sunderland @stocko74 also have now qualified for the Anglo-American Champions League as the worst they can now finish is fourth. Third Placed Everton are certain of Anglo-American competition and will at worse be in the Trophy but a point from the last two games will ensure Champions League football again. In their favour as well are two home games to get that point, against Manchester United and Stoke City Leicester City in fourth @willz121 need a point at Villa or at home to Stoke to be certain of playing in the Trophy but win both and they seal a Champions League spot. Chelsea @Burrows hold the cards for a Trophy slot and it is in their own hands. Win the last two and they are in but they face Man Utd who can still qualify so they won't give in easy and Leicester who want the Champions League. Aston Villa @Nocky currently want the final slot for the trophy. They can still get get Champions League but need a big slip up from Leicester and to get two more points than Chelsea do in the final two games. On their heels for the trophy spot are both Man Utd and Wolves so they can't rest easy. Winning is the best thing to ensure it. Man Utd @Tom and Wolves @ThisBitchBites are both in the hunt if Villa slip up.Both are away for both games and probably will need to win both to stand a chance.
  4. 1 point
    The Race For The Premiership Three games left and there are still five teams in the hunt for the automatic spots to get promotion to the Premiership. In the main seat and holding all the cards, as they say, is Watford on 40pts and with a 6 point advantage on third place and 8 points on fourth place who are the two teams outside the automatic spots that could catch them. A win would virtually seal the deal but four points from nine and the promised land is theirs. To get there though they need to pick these points up away at Norwich, who can still make the play off spots, then at home to fifth placed Tottenham who can mathematically make the automatic places and then travel to fourth placed Southampton. West Ham in second place are two points closer to the two behind and not as easy fixtures either as after an away trip to Sheffield United they have then to play both third and fourth place in a real fight for the automatic spots. They will need two wins to be sure. Bournemouth in third have the best chance to grab an auto spot but at four points behind and with goal difference to much between them they need to win at least two games and most likely all three and hope for a West Ham slip elsewhere. Apart from facing West Ham at their place in the last game they will need to go to Derby and then host Sheffield United. Southampton in fourth need a real help with other games. They need West Ham to lose all three games and Bournemouth to lose one of their three remaining while they win all three. That means they need to win at fifth placed Tottenham, home to West Ham and then beat Watford in the last match. Spurs very slight hopes lie in both the top two losing all their remaining games and then Bournemouth to only beat West Ham while also need ing Southampton to really only win against West Ham. They firstly though have to win their next one at home to Saints or it is all over for auto for them. So far as the play offs go then only QPR, Derby County and Brighton are mathematically out of it. Burnley are for all intents and purposes out as they are 8 goals adrift of Sheffield United in the last play-off spot so would need them to lose all three by more goals than they win their final three and win them they must and even then they would only be on the same points and there are two other teams nearer so they need results to go their way. In all likelihood the only teams with a real chance of a play off spot apart from those who can make the auto spots are Sheffield United and Norwich City.
  5. 1 point
    So game 20 is no over and the table is Pl Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 West_Ham_United 20 13 2 5 33 12 21 41 P 2 Watford 20 12 5 3 23 12 11 41 P ------------------------------------------------------------------- 3 Bournemouth 20 10 4 6 25 19 6 34 4 Tottenham_Hotspur 20 10 3 7 36 20 16 33 5 Southampton 20 9 5 6 25 28 -3 32 6 Norwich_City 20 8 5 7 22 26 -4 29 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Sheffield_United 20 7 7 6 21 22 -1 28 8 Manchester_City 20 6 7 7 14 17 -3 25 9 Burnley 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19 10 Queens_Park_Rangers 20 4 6 10 14 22 -8 18 11 Brighton 20 4 4 12 14 25 -11 16 12 Derby_County 20 3 5 12 14 29 -15 14 What is now decided is West Ham ( @macca ) and Watford ( @BeDoZa ) are both promoted to the premiership automatically but which one will be Champions is yet to sort and they are neck and neck. The interesting battle now ensues as six teams can still make the play-offs. Bournemouth ( @Neilr ) are almost sorted with a spot and draw from either of their last two games at home to Sheffield United or away at West Ham will get them home. Tottenham ( @Daniel ) and Southampton ( @Rivaldo10 ) both just need a win to seal their spots. Spurs need to beat either Watford away or QPR at home while Saints have a harder task with the top two to face in the last two games. Norwich City hold the final spot at present but they have Sheffield Utd a point behind so can't afford to relax. The saving grace for them is it is in their own hands. Win against QPR and Burnley and what the two behind do won't matter. Sheffield United ( @Ruggy ) need to win both and hope that Spurs, Saints or Norwich slip up. There best bet is Norwich as they need the other two to lose both games to be sure. They face Bournemouth next then Manchester City. Manchester City ( @Deefa ) are outsiders needing a miracle really as there maximum now is 31 points which would only get them to 6th spot but only if Norwich & Sheffield United blow it in the final games then you just never know. More updates after the next round of games or Match 21.
  6. 1 point
    Leicester City 4 - 3 Newcastle United What a great fight. teams levelling up every time. Only sad to see Leicester score in almost the last minute.
  7. 1 point
    Ho Ho Ho Finally Here! Last of the prizes (I'm not doing it otmorrow!) Abs 300 Yth - YSU 400 Yth - YBU 300 Yth - YWH 400 Yth - YAS 300 Yth - YNO 300 Yth - YSO 100 Snr - NEW 100 Snr - MNC Youth K_Grabara 20 pol 22 2 2 1 24 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YBU C_Masterson 21 irl 1 22 5 2 23 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YBO A_Ahmedhodzic 20 swe 1 20 8 3 23 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YMU F_Valietti 18 ita 1 19 9 4 20 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YLE Barrie_McKay 21 sco 1 4 22 8 25 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YBR Y_Bobb 21 gam 1 9 21 3 22 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YSH G_Limani 19 kos 1 2 19 6 21 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YAS A_Pedraza 21 spa 1 3 6 22 24 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YLI Senior C_Smalling 30 eng 2 25 3 3 29 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - NOR D_Burn 27 eng 1 25 6 2 25 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - DER Bernard 27 bra 1 3 24 11 22 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - THS F_Delph 30 eng 1 11 24 6 26 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - BOU L_Stindl 29 ger 1 6 10 26 21 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - MNU S_Haller 25 fra 1 4 5 24 23 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - LEI Joelinton 23 bra 1 2 6 24 24 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - WHU O_McBurnie 23 sco 1 3 9 24 22 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - MNC Tag yourself if you want haha! Also as an extra bonus every team will receive £40,000,000 in their finances! Happy Christmas to all!
  8. 1 point
  9. 1 point
    Lol Thats exactly the same for me. My LM is moving to Coventry in January.
  10. 1 point
    Ho Ho Holy shit we're on day 4!! Thanks to @Nocky (I think) for drawing! Abs first. We have 200 senior abs for Brighton and 100 senior abs for Manchester United ( @Tom) Youth Players now!! A_Alessan 18 ita 1 2 8 19 20 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YCR Ryan_Nolan 18 ire 1 20 7 4 22 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - YWO @Haches @ThisBitchBites And finally the senior players D_Yedlin 26 usa 2 25 10 3 24 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - LIV A_Silva 30 por 1 5 25 3 25 300 300 300 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 - SHU @Eduardo @Ruggy See you tomorrow!
  11. 0 points
    Southampton 6-2 DERBY COUNTY That was never a 6-2 game. Granted Southampton deserved to win but 6-2 is load of tosh result. I always hate losing to a random, though not as much as a T, whether the better team won or not, and I'm not sure what the answer is but there needs to be a disadvantage for a random sheet. Merry Christmas!
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